Margins: colors show the two-party margin (Rep% − Dem%). Red shades = Republican lead; blue shades = Democratic lead. Darker = a larger lead (less competitive).
Winners: solid color by winner (D/R), regardless of margin size.
Shift: change in signed margin vs the nearest available prior election for that contest (e.g. 2020→2024). Positive = more Republican; negative = more Democratic.
Political Categories
Category names are just shorthand for absolute margin ranges (|Rep% − Dem%|):
Annihilation: ≥40%
Dominant: 30–39.99%
Stronghold: 20–29.99%
Safe: 10–19.99%
Likely: 5.50–9.99%
Lean: 1.00–5.49%
Tilt: 0.50–0.99%
Tossup: <0.50%
Example: “Safe Republican (10–19.99%)” means the Republican candidate leads by 10–19.99 percentage points (two-party margin).
Hover + Select
Hover a shape to see a quick result card.
Click a shape to select it and pin the vote counter/trend panel to that area.
Use Close to dismiss the tooltip and Clear in the vote counter to unpin selection.
Controls
P toggles precinct overlay (dots at statewide zoom; polygons when zoomed in).
L toggles county labels.
♿ toggles colorblind-friendly colors.
Clear (in the vote counter) unpins a selected area.
Notes
If Shift can’t find a prior year for the selected contest, it falls back to Margins.