Select a contest to see statewide results and margin.
Competitive Trend: While still leaning Republican, Cabarrus has become significantly more competitive. 2020: R+9.45% → 2024: R+7.70%
2020 Breakthrough: Trump 53.94% vs Biden 44.50% - first time since 2008 a Democrat cracked 40%.
2024 Continuation: Trump 53.03% vs Harris 45.34%, maintaining the competitive trend.
Demographics: Unaffiliated registration now surpasses both major parties. Fast-growing communities: Concord, Kannapolis, Harrisburg
Geography: Charlotte metro spillover driving suburban growth and political transformation.
Competitive Trend: Steady competitiveness with remarkably consistent Democratic performance. 2020: R+8.40% → 2024: R+8.16%
2020 Results: Trump 53.50% vs Biden 45.10% - first time since 2008 a Democrat reached 45% (Obama got 44.94%).
2024 Consistency: Trump 53.36% vs Harris 45.22% - nearly identical Democratic share (45.10% vs 45.22%).
Growth Centers: Graham, Burlington, and especially Mebane (I-40/I-85 corridor). Buc-ee's opening late 2026/early 2027 signals commercial growth.
Key Insight: Statistical similarity across cycles highlights persistent competitive trends in this swing county.
Suburban Realignment: Both counties exemplify the transformation of formerly safe Republican areas into competitive battlegrounds.
Unaffiliated Surge: In both counties, unaffiliated voters now outnumber Democrats and Republicans, creating volatile electoral dynamics.
Geographic Advantage: Proximity to Charlotte, the Triad, and Triangle drives population growth and political moderation.
Turnout Impact: Rising voter registration and turnout make these counties pivotal to statewide margins.
National Pattern: These trends mirror broader suburban realignment across the United States.