Select a contest to see statewide results and margin.
Competitive Trend: Davidson remains a Democratic stronghold, with margins consistently above 30% for statewide and federal contests.
2020 Results: Biden 64.5% vs Trump 33.2% (D+31.3%)
2024 Results: Harris 65.1% vs Trump 32.8% (D+32.3%)
Demographics: Nashville's growth and diversity continue to drive Democratic margins.
Competitive Trend: Williamson, once a deep-red suburb, has seen Democratic gains, though Republicans still win by double digits.
2020 Results: Trump 62.1% vs Biden 36.2% (R+25.9%)
2024 Results: Trump 60.4% vs Harris 38.1% (R+22.3%)
Growth Centers: Franklin, Brentwood, Spring Hill.
Competitive Trend: Shelby is Tennessee's largest Democratic base, with margins above 35% in recent cycles.
2020 Results: Biden 66.7% vs Trump 32.0% (D+34.7%)
2024 Results: Harris 67.2% vs Trump 31.5% (D+35.7%)
Demographics: Memphis metro continues to anchor Democratic performance statewide.